PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

Until the end of 2037, at no point in time will the Republican and Democratic parties combined have less than 96% of members of each of the House, Senate, governors and control of legislative chambers (non-partisan ones excluded).

Created by Bruno Parga on 2016-04-09; known on 2037-12-31

  • Bruno Parga estimated 67% on 2016-04-09
  • JoshuaZ said “Is this 96% percent of each, or 96% in some combined fashion? on 2016-04-09
  • Bruno Parga changed the deadline from “on 2037-12-31” and changed their prediction from “Until the end of 2037, at no point in time will the Republican and Democratic parties combined have less than 96% of members of the House, Senate, governors and control of legislative chambers (non-partisan ones excluded).” on 2016-04-12
  • Bruno Parga said “JoshuaZ, thanks for your comment. I edited the prediction to reflect that I mean each. The House will always be at least 96% D+R, so will the Senate, so will the set of governors, and so will the set of controlling parties.on 2016-04-12
  • JoshuaZ estimated 48% on 2016-04-12
  • PlacidPlatypus estimated 75% on 2016-04-14
  • JoshuaZ estimated 49% on 2020-06-12
  • Bruno Parga estimated 70% on 2020-11-08