If the Republican convention goes to the second ballot, Ted Cruz will secure the nomination

Created by ioannes on 2016-04-16; known on 2016-08-01

  • ioannes estimated 65% on 2016-04-16
  • ioannes on 2016-04-16
  • PlacidPlatypus said “If it doesn’t, will this prediction be withdrawn?on 2016-04-19
  • PlacidPlatypus said “I’m a little leery of conditional predictions because I’ve got a couple expired ones lying around that the creator hasn’t done anything with.on 2016-04-19
  • JoshuaZ estimated 74% on 2016-04-19
  • davidmanheim estimated 60% and said “I think the “will of the people” argument is stronger than people credit. Selecting Cruz will be picking the loser, they’d be better off letting Trump be kingmaker – perhaps with a few slots (Sec. State?) for his people.on 2016-04-21
  • themusicgod1 estimated 10% on 2016-06-10
  • elephantower estimated 70% on 2016-07-14
  • elephantower said “time to withdraw this prediction as the convention will not go to the 2nd balloton 2016-07-16
  • Bruno Parga said “Perhaps there should be an option to mark a prediction as “condition unfulfilled”, alongside “right” and “wrong”.on 2016-07-20

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