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First physical sample returned from a Near Earth Asteroid.

Created by Paul.David.Carr on 2016-04-26; known on 2025-06-22

  • Paul.David.Carr estimated 75% on 2016-04-26
  • themusicgod1 estimated 52% on 2016-04-26
  • sflicht estimated 75% and said “Maybe too conservative — OSIRIS-REx is to land September 2023. Does it really have a 25% chance of failure, even w/ extra 21 months leeway? But space is hard, so tough to be much more than 75% confident.” on 2016-04-28
  • JoshuaZ estimated 64% and said “sflicht, +Delays + cancellation also. ” on 2016-04-28