War in Venezuela and/or Venezuela invaded by one of its neighbours

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-05-01; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-01-01.

• themusicgod1 estimated 40% on 2016-05-01
• themusicgod1 said “(this does not include civil war)” on 2016-05-01
• themusicgod1 said “related: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/178024” on 2016-05-01
• Bruno Parga estimated 5% and said “Civil war? Maybe. But present-day Latin American countries (particularly in South America) are loath to intervene in each other’s affairs so openly. ” on 2016-05-19
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2018-01-01.