Civil War in Venezuela

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-05-01; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-01-01.

• themusicgod1 estimated 48% on 2016-05-01
• Waring estimated 15% on 2016-05-02
• themusicgod1 said “https://www.reddit.com/r/worldnews/comments/4j9oxh/venezuela_president_declares_emergency_cites_us/ State of emergency declared. They are really close.” on 2016-05-14
• JoshuaZ estimated 21% and said “Coup or other short issue more likely than civil war. ” on 2016-05-15
• Bruno Parga estimated 30% on 2016-05-19
• atomicspaceman said “What condition qualifies as a civil war?” on 2017-08-10
• themusicgod1 said “BBC, UN using terms “civil war” to describe situation would do it.” on 2017-08-11
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2018-01-01.