Sometime in 2020, Satoshi Nakamoto's bitcoins suddenly start to move again, having not moved until 2020.

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-05-02; known on 2021-01-01; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2021-01-01.

• themusicgod1 estimated 28% on 2016-05-02
• JoshuaZ said “Why 2020? I understand if you predicted by the end of 2020, but exactly 2020 seems oddly specific. ” on 2016-05-02
• JoshuaZ estimated 6% on 2016-05-02
• themusicgod1 said “According to rumour from last december, satoshi’s bitcoins are in a ‘trust’ until then, if Craig Wright is to be believed. http://gizmodo.com/this-australian-says-he-and-his-dead-friend-invented-bi-1746958692” on 2016-05-02
• themusicgod1 estimated 17% and said “If the coins Wright moves this week belong to satoshi this claim will be marked wrong.” on 2016-05-03
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 8% on 2016-05-11
• deleteyourbrain estimated 0% on 2019-04-25
• Baeboo estimated 3% on 2019-04-26
• Baeboo estimated 2% on 2020-11-20
• PlacidPlatypus said “Closest I can find is https://www.coindesk.com/50-btc-just-moved-for-first-time-since-2009-but-it-doesnt-look-like-satoshi which suggests the answer is not really. Anyone know more?” on 2021-01-01
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-01-01.