Trump's VP pick is not a career politician (i.e. is a businessperson, celebrity, etc.)

Created by ioannes on 2016-05-06; known on 2016-08-16; judged wrong by elephantower on 2016-07-15.

• ioannes estimated 35% on 2016-05-06
• themusicgod1 estimated 58% on 2016-05-06
• two2thehead estimated 30% and said “Excellent question. IMO he has to pick a career politician to shore up his ranks and weaknesses. Wanted to estimate 35 to be safe but my first instinct was 30. Should be interesting to compare my first and second thoughts in the future.” on 2016-05-14
• themusicgod1 said “two2thehead I get what you mean; it would make a lot of strategic sense for him to do so, but at the same time, what makes sense doesn’t necessarily mean he’s going to do it” on 2016-05-14
• RoryS estimated 38% on 2016-05-15
• PipFoweraker estimated 30% and said “Interesting question. I think he pulls someone from inside politics to shore up a perceived weakness.” on 2016-05-16
• JoshuaZ estimated 32% on 2016-05-16
• hedges estimated 35% on 2016-05-17
• Reactionaryhistorian estimated 40% on 2016-05-24
• splorridge estimated 26% on 2016-05-24
• qznc estimated 30% on 2016-07-04
• themusicgod1 estimated 6% and said “looks like it will be.” on 2016-07-15
• elephantower   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-07-15.
• elephantower   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-07-15.