Carl Shulman will point out something I did wrong on my quantitative models post.
- Michael Dickens estimated 70% on 2016-05-18
- CarlShulman estimated 85% on 2016-05-19
- Michael Dickens judged this prediction right on 2016-05-19.
- Michael Dickens said “Carl why didn’t you make a more confident prediction? In your position I probably would have said about 97%.” on 2016-05-19
- CarlShulman said “Limiting the bounty of insider trading.” on 2016-05-20
Please log in to respond to or judge prediction