SpaceX will launch a Dragon or Dragon-derived vehicle to the surface of Mars in the 2018 launch window.
Created by olivia on 2016-05-26; known on 2018-05-10; judged wrong by Athrithalix on 2018-05-16.
- olivia estimated 35% on 2016-05-26
- Paul.David.Carr estimated 48% on 2016-05-27
- sflicht estimated 40% on 2016-05-30
- sflicht estimated 45% on 2016-05-30
- theredarmy estimated 60% on 2016-06-14
- Athrithalix judged this prediction wrong on 2018-05-16.