Conditional on Hillary Clinton's genome being sequenced, she will be shown to have a higher than average probability of being on the autistic spectrum/having aspergers.

Created by two2thehead on 2016-06-07; known on 2066-06-07

  • two2thehead estimated 99% on 2016-06-07
  • two2thehead said “The study that tangentially inspired my thought process vis-a-vis probability of having aspergers (or any other neurological disorder) versus the general population.http://www.bbc.com/news/health-19959565on 2016-06-07
  • themusicgod1 estimated 9% on 2016-06-07
  • Michael Dickens estimated 70% and said “wow you guys are really confident in opposite directionson 2016-06-08
  • two2thehead said “Lol. One of my future goals on prediction book is to put the following on my user page; often wrong, never in doubt. :-)on 2016-06-08
  • EloiseRosen estimated 40% on 2016-06-09
  • JoshuaZ estimated 42% on 2016-06-11
  • JoshuaZ said “two2thehead, that sort of defeats the point of the website if that is your goal. on 2016-06-11
  • two2thehead said “Lol. I’m joking. :-) PB has given me lots of insight on my thought process and I hope to use it to calibrate my thinking for a long time.on 2016-06-11
  • two2thehead said “I’m assuming that sequencing will become fast and cheap enough to have publicly available statistics that measure the median frequency of mental disorders as well as the genetic correlates there of.on 2016-07-18
  • two2thehead said “Assume that the genetic equivalent of The Streisand effect holds true in the future, along with fast sequencing that anyone can do or have access to, and it becomes trivial.on 2016-07-18

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