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The Arctic will experience an ice-free period by 2018.

Created by Aegis on 2013-04-28; known on 2018-04-28; judged wrong by Aegis on 2018-04-29.

  • Aegis estimated 66% on 2013-04-28
  • Aegis changed their prediction from “The Arctic will experience an ice-free” on 2013-04-28
  • Aegis changed the deadline from “on 2013-04-28” on 2013-04-28
  • Aegis changed the deadline from “on 2018-04-28” on 2013-04-28
  • Aegis changed the deadline from “on 2013-04-28” on 2013-04-28
  • themusicgod1 estimated 36% and said “we’re heading to a cold period, it’s about as ice free as it’s going to get for a few years” on 2016-10-10
  • Aegis   judged this prediction wrong on 2018-04-29.
  • Aegis said “https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2018/04/180402110733.htm” on 2018-04-29