Gary Johnson will be the next elected President

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2016-06-14; known on 2016-11-10; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2016-11-09.

  • PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2016-06-14
  • themusicgod1 estimated 7% on 2016-06-15
  • elephantower estimated 1% on 2016-06-15
  • TheCometKing estimated 2% and said “Third party candidates aren’t really viable. The only reason I give him this much is because the major parties are totally fucked up this year.on 2016-06-16
  • joshcurtis estimated 1% on 2016-06-18
  • Paul.David.Carr estimated 12% on 2016-06-21
  • Michael Dickens estimated 1% and said “IIRC third parties have never won in the US which naively suggests the probability is <1/44. The closest we’ve ever seen was Teddy Roosevelt, who had previously been a popular two-term president. Gary Johnson isn’t nearly as popular as Teddy was.on 2016-06-26
  • Michael Dickens said “Unless Republican was a third party? I’m not clear on what happened with the transition from Whigs to Republicans.on 2016-06-26
  • two2thehead estimated 1% and said “Less than one percent.on 2016-06-26
  • Andrew MacFie estimated 1% on 2016-08-02
  • themusicgod1   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-11-09.

Please log in to respond to or judge prediction