Gary Johnson will be the next elected President

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2016-06-14; known on 2016-11-10; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2016-11-09.

• PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2016-06-14
• themusicgod1 estimated 7% on 2016-06-15
• elephantower estimated 1% on 2016-06-15
• TheCometKing estimated 2% and said “Third party candidates aren’t really viable. The only reason I give him this much is because the major parties are totally fucked up this year.” on 2016-06-16
• joshcurtis estimated 1% on 2016-06-18
• Paul.David.Carr estimated 12% on 2016-06-21
• Michael Dickens estimated 1% and said “IIRC third parties have never won in the US which naively suggests the probability is <1/44. The closest we’ve ever seen was Teddy Roosevelt, who had previously been a popular two-term president. Gary Johnson isn’t nearly as popular as Teddy was.” on 2016-06-26
• Michael Dickens said “Unless Republican was a third party? I’m not clear on what happened with the transition from Whigs to Republicans.” on 2016-06-26
• two2thehead estimated 1% and said “Less than one percent.” on 2016-06-26
• Andrew MacFie estimated 1% on 2016-08-02
• themusicgod1   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-11-09.