Trump picks Chris Christie for VP
- themusicgod1 estimated 9% on 2016-06-16
- Paul.David.Carr estimated 15% on 2016-06-21
- predictit estimated 22% and said “This acct posts probabilities from predictit.org, to test its accuracy relative to mine (and others’), and record why I think the market is biased (if applicable). See other predictions on "predictit"’s user page and test your acumen against it too.” on 2016-07-14
- elephantower estimated 8% and said “My prior is extremely low — I don’t get the impression they like each other much and it doesn’t really help Trump at all (or generate much media attn). Also, the likelihood ratio of him being on the shortlist list is low: he’d be included anyways” on 2016-07-14
- elephantower said “because of his status as a Trump slave” on 2016-07-14
- PseudonymousUser judged this prediction wrong on 2016-07-14.
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