Stein and/or Johnson take more than 1% of the national popular vote.

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2016-06-17; known on 2017-01-01; judged right by themusicgod1 on 2016-11-15.

• NathanMcKnight estimated 70% on 2016-06-17
• themusicgod1 estimated 57% on 2016-06-17
• elephantower estimated 60% on 2016-06-18
• JoshuaZ said “Is this that one or the other will take 1%? Or is this that combined they’ll both together hit at least 1%? ” on 2016-06-19
• Bruno Parga estimated 57% and said “Related, my prediction that Johnson will get less than 2%: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/177854 – Also, 57% is for Johnson alone getting >1%, no prediction on Stein.” on 2016-06-20
• Paul.David.Carr estimated 80% on 2016-06-21
• NathanMcKnight said “Joshua: At least of them gets 1% or more. ” on 2016-06-22
• NathanMcKnight estimated 90% on 2016-08-19
• Dapple estimated 95% on 2016-10-05
• Dapple said “Is there any reason to not flag this Right now?” on 2016-11-15
• themusicgod1   judged this prediction right on 2016-11-15.