David Cameron will not formally invoke Article 50

Created by ejlflop on 2016-06-25; known on 2016-11-01; judged right by Jenson on 2016-07-14.

• ejlflop estimated 40% on 2016-06-25
• splorridge estimated 54% on 2016-06-25
• elephantower estimated 75% and said “why would he?” on 2016-06-26
• splorridge estimated 80% and said “Changed my mind.” on 2016-06-27
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 85% on 2016-07-06
• Jenson estimated 90% on 2016-07-06
• Jenson   judged this prediction right on 2016-07-14.
• Jenson said “Unless he did and just didn’t tell anybody, or he happens to become PM again, or Parliament invests the power to invoke Article 50 in him.” on 2016-07-14