Conditional on a Labour leadership election being forced (ie, not as a result of Corbyn's resignation), Jeremy Corbyn will be on the ballot

Created by splorridge on 2016-06-27; known on 2017-01-01; judged right by splorridge on 2016-07-28.

• splorridge estimated 95% on 2016-06-27
• splorridge estimated 60% on 2016-07-11
• RoryS estimated 58% on 2016-07-11
• splorridge estimated 99% and said “I was about to mark it as true, but then I realised some opponents of the decision are considering a legal challenge.” on 2016-07-13
• elephantower estimated 90% on 2016-07-14
• splorridge said “I think we can call it settled now. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-36909862” on 2016-07-28
• splorridge   judged this prediction right on 2016-07-28.