Conditional on a Labour leadership election being called and conditional on Jeremy Corbyn being on the ballot, Corbyn will win

Created by splorridge on 2016-06-27; known on 2017-06-01; judged right by splorridge on 2016-10-03.

  • splorridge estimated 78% on 2016-06-27
  • splorridge estimated 64% on 2016-06-27
  • splorridge estimated 71% on 2016-07-02
  • elephantower estimated 90% on 2016-07-13
  • splorridge estimated 90% and said “183000 new registered supporters in 48 hours. Somehow I don’t think very many of them signed up to support Smith.on 2016-07-21
  • RoryS estimated 85% on 2016-07-21
  • splorridge   judged this prediction right on 2016-10-03.

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