The Labour party will split

Created by splorridge on 2016-06-27; known on 2017-01-01; judged wrong by splorridge on 2017-01-01.

• splorridge estimated 26% on 2016-06-27
• elephantower estimated 5% on 2016-07-02
• elephantower estimated 10% on 2016-07-13
• splorridge   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-01-01.