[Long Term] An existential catastrophe will occur by the end of year 2500.
Created by WilliamKiely on 2016-06-29; known on 2501-01-01
- WilliamKiely estimated 24% on 2016-06-29
- WilliamKiely said “Also see: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/178575” on 2016-06-29
- WilliamKiely said “Notably: “John Leslie, a Canadian philosopher, puts the probability of humanity failing to survive the next five centuries to 30% in his book End of the World.” Quote source: Bostrom: http://www.nickbostrom.com/papers/future.pdf” on 2016-06-30
- themusicgod1 estimated 94% on 2016-07-02
- pranomostro estimated 53% on 2019-03-15
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