Conditional on Bill O'Reilly's genome being sequenced, he will be shown to have a higher than average probability of having Narcissistic Personality Disorder [NPD].

Created by two2thehead on 2016-07-01; known on 2066-07-01

  • two2thehead estimated 99% on 2016-07-01
  • two2thehead said “The study that tangentially inspired my thought process vis-a-vis probability of having aspergers (or any other neurological disorder) versus the general population. http://www.bbc.com/news/health-19959565on 2016-07-01
  • JoshuaZ estimated 51% on 2016-07-01
  • themusicgod1 estimated 17% on 2016-07-01
  • EloiseRosen estimated 50% on 2016-07-01
  • elephantower estimated 80% on 2016-07-02
  • Jenson estimated 30% and said “Are you assuming that they would make any comment at all on his chances of having NPD?on 2016-07-06
  • two2thehead said “I’m assuming that sequencing will become fast and cheap enough to have publicly available statistics that measure the median frequency of mental disorders as well as the genetic correlates there of.on 2016-07-06
  • two2thehead said “Assume that the genetic equivalent of The Streisand effect holds true in the future, along with fast sequencing that anyone can do or have access to, and it becomes trivial.on 2016-07-06

Please log in to respond to or judge prediction