Conditional on Egypt Flight 804 being a terrorist plot, the weak link will not be France or French airport security

Created by two2thehead on 2016-07-04; known on 2021-06-16

• two2thehead estimated 90% on 2016-07-04
• two2thehead said “Related prediction http://predictionbook.com/predictions/178431” on 2016-07-04
• two2thehead said “This prediction allows for Egyptians with connections to Egypt Air to access and put stuff on flight 804 via a French airport.” on 2016-07-04
• elephantower estimated 70% on 2016-07-05
• elephantower estimated 0% on 2016-07-05
• elephantower said “wtf noooo is there any way to withdraw a prediction? Why did put 0?” on 2016-07-05
• elephantower said “That seems to be a bug; I didn’t enter 0” on 2016-07-05
• two2thehead said “My sympathies. This is a great site but the bugs can make it tough to use. :-)” on 2016-07-05
• elephantower said “would you mind withdrawing this prediction and redoing it, as nobody else has made a prediction yet?” on 2016-07-07
• two2thehead said “I don’t understand. This is a sub set prediction of ‘Flight 804 was brought down by a terrorist plot’. The related prediction is given above. http://predictionbook.com/predictions/178431” on 2016-07-07
• two2thehead said “Yeah, just got what you meant. Since any other than us two hasn’t made a prediction. I’ll look into it. :-)” on 2016-07-07
• two2thehead withdrew the prediction on 2016-07-07
• elephantower said “Thanks” on 2016-07-07