Gitmo will still be around by 2020

Created by RandomThinker on 2013-05-01; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-01.

• RandomThinker estimated 45% on 2013-05-01
• RandomThinker changed the deadline from “on 2032-01-01” and changed their prediction from “Gitmo will still be around by 2028” on 2013-05-01
• RandomThinker said “Hunger strike, but I don’t think Obama will be able to do it. The end of next president term perhaps. http://www.nytimes.com/2013/05/01/opinion/president-obama-and-the-hunger-strike-at-guantanamo.html?hp” on 2013-05-01
• hedges estimated 10% on 2013-05-01
• alanog estimated 60% on 2013-05-01
• JoshuaZ said “Does this prediction refer to Gitmo as a special prison or Gitmo more generally as a military installation? ” on 2013-05-01
• RandomThinker said “Special prison. Gitmo as a military installation is just a base in a strategic place (Cuba).” on 2013-05-02
• RandomThinker said “Not only special prison, but an extrajudicial terrorist/combatant prison like it is right now. ” on 2013-05-02
• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2013-05-02
• Tuxedage estimated 30% on 2013-05-02
• Isaac estimated 30% on 2013-05-09
• holycow81 estimated 54% on 2013-05-27
• PseudonymousUser said “https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Guantanamo_Bay_detention_camp#President_Obama” on 2013-11-14
• PseudonymousUser estimated 60% on 2013-11-14
• PseudonymousUser estimated 66% on 2016-02-16
• themusicgod1 estimated 25% on 2016-04-15
• themusicgod1 estimated 75% and said “read a ‘not’ in there somewhere” on 2016-04-15
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction right on 2020-01-01.