Democrats will win 370+ electoral votes in the 2016 presidential election.
- predictit estimated 30% on 2016-07-13
- predictit said “This acct posts probabilities from predictit.org, to test its accuracy relative to mine (and others’), and record why I think the market is biased (if applicable). See other predictions on "predictit"’s user page and test your acumen against it too.” on 2016-07-13
- elephantower estimated 10% and said “This market is absurd, probably people who underestimate America’s partisanship and assume Trump’s incompetence and extremism will lead to huge Clinton majorities” on 2016-07-13
- predictit estimated 37% and said “this is getting ridiculous ” on 2016-08-10
- NathanMcKnight estimated 11% on 2016-11-05
- Bruno Parga judged this prediction wrong on 2016-11-09.
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