Democrats will win 370+ electoral votes in the 2016 presidential election.

Created by predictit on 2016-07-13; known on 2016-11-08; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2016-11-09.

• predictit estimated 30% on 2016-07-13
• predictit said “This acct posts probabilities from predictit.org, to test its accuracy relative to mine (and others’), and record why I think the market is biased (if applicable). See other predictions on "predictit"’s user page and test your acumen against it too.” on 2016-07-13
• elephantower estimated 10% and said “This market is absurd, probably people who underestimate America’s partisanship and assume Trump’s incompetence and extremism will lead to huge Clinton majorities” on 2016-07-13
• predictit estimated 37% and said “this is getting ridiculous ” on 2016-08-10
• NathanMcKnight estimated 11% on 2016-11-05
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-11-09.