Democrats will win 370+ electoral votes in the 2016 presidential election.

Created by predictit on 2016-07-13; known on 2016-11-08; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2016-11-09.

  • predictit estimated 30% on 2016-07-13
  • predictit said “This acct posts probabilities from predictit.org, to test its accuracy relative to mine (and others’), and record why I think the market is biased (if applicable). See other predictions on "predictit"’s user page and test your acumen against it too.on 2016-07-13
  • elephantower estimated 10% and said “This market is absurd, probably people who underestimate America’s partisanship and assume Trump’s incompetence and extremism will lead to huge Clinton majoritieson 2016-07-13
  • predictit estimated 37% and said “this is getting ridiculous on 2016-08-10
  • NathanMcKnight estimated 11% on 2016-11-05
  • Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-11-09.

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