Government of United Kingdom has notified European Union of its intent to withdraw from Union as per article 50 para 2 of the Treaty on European Union.
Created by kuudes on 2016-07-13; known on 2016-10-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2016-10-01.
- kuudes estimated 49% on 2016-07-13
- kuudes said “http://predictionbook.com/predictions/178796” on 2016-07-13
- elephantower estimated 20% on 2016-07-13
- Bruno Parga estimated 33% on 2016-07-22
- blackRust estimated 20% on 2016-08-02
- Bruno Parga estimated 0% and said “They won’t do it in 16: http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jul/20/angela-merkel-backs-theresa-mays-plan-not-to-trigger-brexit-this-year” on 2016-08-12
- themusicgod1 estimated 47% on 2016-10-01
- Bruno Parga judged this prediction wrong on 2016-10-01.
- Bruno Parga said “They haven’t done it: https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/sep/30/may-under-pressure-to-name-article-50-date-in-tory-conference-speech” on 2016-10-01