Government of United Kingdom has notified European Union of its intent to withdraw from Union as per article 50 para 2 of the Treaty on European Union.

Created by kuudes on 2016-07-13; known on 2017-01-01; judged wrong by kuudes on 2017-01-01.

• kuudes estimated 56% on 2016-07-13
• kuudes said “http://predictionbook.com/predictions/178796” on 2016-07-13
• elephantower estimated 40% on 2016-07-13
• Bruno Parga estimated 60% on 2016-07-22
• themusicgod1 estimated 50% on 2016-07-22
• blackRust estimated 30% on 2016-08-02
• Bruno Parga estimated 1% and said “They won’t do it in 16: http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jul/20/angela-merkel-backs-theresa-mays-plan-not-to-trigger-brexit-this-year” on 2016-08-12
• kuudes   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-01-01.

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