Government of United Kingdom has notified European Union of its intent to withdraw from Union as per article 50 para 2 of the Treaty on European Union.

Created by kuudes on 2016-07-13; known on 2017-07-01; judged right by kuudes on 2017-03-29.

• kuudes estimated 70% on 2016-07-13
• kuudes said “http://predictionbook.com/predictions/178796” on 2016-07-13
• elephantower estimated 50% on 2016-07-13
• Bruno Parga estimated 70% on 2016-07-22
• blackRust estimated 40% on 2016-08-02
• Bruno Parga estimated 20% and said “They are not doing it in 2016. There’s a presidential election in France in April/May ’17, and a German general election in the second half of the year, so they might wait for potential new governments in Paris and Berlin.” on 2016-08-12
• Bruno Parga estimated 80% and said “They want to do it so that the two-year period ends before the EU Parliament elections in May/June 2019. http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-37532364##” on 2016-10-02
• themusicgod1 estimated 53% on 2016-10-02
• kuudes   judged this prediction right on 2017-03-29.