Government of United Kingdom has notified European Union of its intent to withdraw from Union as per article 50 para 2 of the Treaty on European Union.
Created by kuudes on 2016-07-13; known on 2017-07-01; judged right by kuudes on 2017-03-29.
- kuudes estimated 70% on 2016-07-13
- kuudes said “http://predictionbook.com/predictions/178796” on 2016-07-13
- elephantower estimated 50% on 2016-07-13
- Bruno Parga estimated 70% on 2016-07-22
- blackRust estimated 40% on 2016-08-02
- Bruno Parga estimated 20% and said “They are not doing it in 2016. There’s a presidential election in France in April/May ’17, and a German general election in the second half of the year, so they might wait for potential new governments in Paris and Berlin.” on 2016-08-12
- Bruno Parga estimated 80% and said “They want to do it so that the two-year period ends before the EU Parliament elections in May/June 2019. http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-37532364##” on 2016-10-02
- themusicgod1 estimated 53% on 2016-10-02
- kuudes judged this prediction right on 2017-03-29.
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