Undivided government under the Republicans after 2016
Created by predictit on 2016-07-14; known on 2016-11-08; judged right by Bruno Parga on 2016-11-09.
- predictit estimated 27% on 2016-07-14
- predictit said “This acct posts probabilities from predictit.org, to test its accuracy relative to mine (and others’), and record why I think the market is biased (if applicable). See other predictions on "predictit"’s user page and test your acumen against it too.” on 2016-07-14
- elephantower estimated 10% and said “I think betters are overestimating the correlation between a Trump victory and a R senate victory (esp with Bayh declared) — the sorts of events that make a R senate victory and a Trump victory more likely are different ” on 2016-07-14
- themusicgod1 estimated 20% on 2016-07-15
- Paul.David.Carr estimated 10% on 2016-09-01
- two2thehead said “Time clear up my ignorance. Does this prediction mean a Republican president in 2016 and a Republican controlled Senate and Congress? ” on 2016-09-01
- NathanMcKnight estimated 10% on 2016-11-05
- two2thehead estimated 1% on 2016-11-06
- Bruno Parga judged this prediction right on 2016-11-09.