McCain wins re-election in 2016

Created by predictit on 2016-07-14; known on 2016-11-08; judged right by kuudes on 2016-11-09.

  • predictit estimated 63% on 2016-07-14
  • predictit said “This acct posts probabilities from predictit.org, to test its accuracy relative to mine (and others’), and record why I think the market is biased (if applicable). See other predictions on "predictit"’s user page and test your acumen against it tooon 2016-07-14
  • elephantower estimated 85% and said “Seems a bit low to me — people are probably overestimating Kirkpatrick because of her wins in House races, but her district is very very diffferent from AZ as a whole”on 2016-07-14
  • elephantower said “a 20% swing towards Kirkpatrick seems likely — this will still allow for a McCain victoryon 2016-07-14
  • kuudes   judged this prediction right on 2016-11-09.

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