Democrats win undivided control of government in 2016

Created by predictit on 2016-07-14; known on 2016-11-08; judged wrong by PlacidPlatypus on 2016-11-09.

  • predictit estimated 18% on 2016-07-14
  • predictit said “This acct posts probabilities from predictit.org, to test its accuracy relative to mine (and others’), and record why I think the market is biased (if applicable). See other predictions on "predictit"’s user page and test your acumen against it too.on 2016-07-14
  • predictit said “Seems pretty high, and predictit also gives a 18% chance of the Dems controlling the house. Enough depends on the specific race that P(DSenate&DPres|DHouse) is lower than that would imply”on 2016-07-14
  • elephantower estimated 5% on 2016-07-14
  • themusicgod1 estimated 11% on 2016-07-15
  • PlacidPlatypus estimated 8% on 2016-07-20
  • davidmanheim estimated 12% on 2016-08-02
  • NathanMcKnight estimated 5% on 2016-11-05
  • PlacidPlatypus   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-11-09.

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