Merrick Garland will fill Scalia's SCOTUS seat

Created by predictit on 2016-07-14; known on 2017-02-15; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2017-02-16.

• predictit estimated 38% on 2016-07-14
• predictit said “This acct posts probabilities from predictit.org, to test its accuracy relative to mine (and others’), and record why I think the market is biased (if applicable). See other predictions on "predictit"’s user page and test your acumen against it too.” on 2016-07-14
• elephantower estimated 20% on 2016-07-14
• Dapple estimated 15% and said “I feel like at this point the GOP senators would go for anyone else just to save face on not letting Garland get through thus far.” on 2016-07-19
• elephantower said “good point” on 2016-07-20
• themusicgod1 estimated 46% on 2016-07-20
• alecbrooks estimated 40% and said “There’s a decent chance Hillary will appoint him.” on 2016-08-13
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-02-16.