Mia Love will be re-elected to the House of Representatives from Utah's 4th district
- predictit estimated 63% on 2016-07-14
- predictit said “This acct posts probabilities from predictit.org, to test its accuracy relative to mine (and others’), and record why I think the market is biased (if applicable). See other predictions on "predictit"’s user page and test your acumen against it too” on 2016-07-14
- elephantower estimated 90% and said “Predictit seems to have a trend of overestimating Trump’s negative effect on downballot candidates — in a R state like Utah, it’s just as likely that they’ll want to counterbalance a vote against a distasteful R nominee with support for R downballot” on 2016-07-14
- Paul.David.Carr estimated 65% on 2016-09-01
- themusicgod1 estimated 53% on 2016-09-16
- elephantower judged this prediction right on 2016-11-10.
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