Mia Love will be re-elected to the House of Representatives from Utah's 4th district

Created by predictit on 2016-07-14; known on 2016-11-08; judged right by elephantower on 2016-11-10.

  • predictit estimated 63% on 2016-07-14
  • predictit said “This acct posts probabilities from predictit.org, to test its accuracy relative to mine (and others’), and record why I think the market is biased (if applicable). See other predictions on "predictit"’s user page and test your acumen against it tooon 2016-07-14
  • elephantower estimated 90% and said “Predictit seems to have a trend of overestimating Trump’s negative effect on downballot candidates — in a R state like Utah, it’s just as likely that they’ll want to counterbalance a vote against a distasteful R nominee with support for R downballoton 2016-07-14
  • Paul.David.Carr estimated 65% on 2016-09-01
  • themusicgod1 estimated 53% on 2016-09-16
  • elephantower   judged this prediction right on 2016-11-10.

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