Jim Justice will win the WV governor race in 2016
- predictit estimated 65% on 2016-07-14
- predictit said “This acct posts probabilities from predictit.org, to test its accuracy relative to mine (and others’), and record why I think the market is biased (if applicable). See other predictions on "predictit"’s user page and test your acumen against it too” on 2016-07-14
- elephantower estimated 85% and said “WV is a very atypical state, R surge is good optics for Cole but based on fundamentals Justice is poised to reverse (coal, insecurity about jobs)” on 2016-07-14
- predictit estimated 52% on 2016-08-08
- elephantower judged this prediction right on 2016-11-10.
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