Conditioned on UK leaving the EU, Scotland will be in progress towards, or have achieved, the status of an independent state (or quasi-independent, e.g. with shared military) by the end of 2020.
- blackRust estimated 70% on 2016-07-14
- splorridge estimated 68% on 2016-07-15
- Chri estimated 70% on 2016-07-17
- themusicgod1 estimated 46% on 2016-07-17
- RoryS estimated 70% on 2016-07-18
- elephantower estimated 60% on 2016-07-19
- blackRust estimated 5% on 2020-02-29
- blackRust judged this prediction wrong on 2021-01-16.
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