By this time in 2026, there will be a consensus among neuroscientists (>50%) that quantum mechanics plays a non-trivial role in understanding consciousness.

Created by RoryS on 2016-07-18; known on 2026-07-18

  • RoryS estimated 8% on 2016-07-18
  • themusicgod1 said “can we be a little more precise on this one? ie when we say “quantum mechanis” do we really just mean ‘the brain has stochastic properties’ ?on 2016-07-19
  • RoryS said “I’m thinking of something stronger than just brain having stochastic properties; I’m thinking widespread acceptance of a Penrose-style theory, or something similar. on 2016-07-19
  • themusicgod1 estimated 5% on 2016-07-19
  • Medea estimated 5% on 2016-07-21
  • ejlflop estimated 0% on 2016-07-23
  • Expipiplusone estimated 0% and said “Just because it seems I can’t put something lower than 0.1%on 2016-08-26
  • Expipiplusone estimated 1% and said “Argh, 1% is the bare minimum above 0. Fine _on 2016-08-26
  • Baeboo estimated 1% on 2017-12-14
  • JoshuaZ estimated 3% on 2017-12-15
  • Lucent estimated 5% on 2018-11-10

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