The Munich shooters turn out to be Muslim

Created by bendini on 2016-07-22; known on 2016-07-29; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2016-07-23.

  • bendini estimated 50% on 2016-07-22
  • themusicgod1 estimated 56% on 2016-07-23
  • two2thehead estimated 80% and said “Probably.on 2016-07-23
  • themusicgod1 said “looks like this time he was an anti-muslim 2016-07-23
  • themusicgod1   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-07-23.
  • two2thehead said “I was just going to say… how does ‘Muslim’ count? When I estimated it I had assumed it would be someone pledging allegiance to ISIS/ISIL/Daesh. That was clearly wrong.on 2016-07-23
  • two2thehead said “ Does being the child of a Muslim mother and father count? Not trying to ’’play the refs" or anything, I was just wondering.on 2016-07-23
  • two2thehead said “Errm. Re-reading this I may need to offer some clarification. I admit that my prediction was wrong. on 2016-07-23
  • two2thehead said “No support for ISIS/ISIL/Daesh that I can find. Looks more and more likely it’s an Anders Behring Breivik type shooting. Or even a Virginia Tech type shooting.on 2016-07-24
  • elephantower said “jesus christ why is “no support for ISIS” equivalent to “not muslim”?on 2016-07-24
  • elephantower said “I don’t think there’s actually any evidence on his religion…on 2016-07-24
  • elephantower said “His parents were Muslim after all, so I’d imagine he (at one point at least) attended a mosque, but who knows what he believed personally. on 2016-07-24
  • elephantower said “Honestly, I think a muslim mass shooter who was just a crazy with no connection to Islamic radicalism (as is likely the case here) would be good for reducing stereotypes. on 2016-07-24
  • two2thehead said “We are thinking the same thought I think. :-) I’ve heard a term that I like quite well as a descriptor. ‘Culturally Christian’. It was used to describe Richard Dawkins (whether he himself agrees I don’t know) and his upbringing.on 2016-07-24
  • two2thehead said “And if this clown were ‘Culturally Muslim’ (even if he wanted to get rid of his ‘upbringing’), it stands to reason that the reported ‘Allahu Akbar’ could be a ‘default response’ to a stressful situation.on 2016-07-24
  • two2thehead said “Similar to how ex-Christians/militant atheists raised in a Christian household could exclaim “Praise Jesus” after a near miss / avoiding a potential car crash.on 2016-07-24
  • two2thehead said “Extreme stressors bringing out our earliest memorized responses, etc.on 2016-07-24
  • themusicgod1 said “bendini’s call imo, this is a close one/gonna fall into semanticson 2016-07-24
  • bendini said “The prediction was poorly worded, the intention was to predict some kind of Islamic motivation, which there doesn’t seem to be despite the shooter being half Iranian. Prediction is wrong unless new information comes to lighton 2016-07-25
  • two2thehead said “I accept this judgment. Lesson learned. Even with a male shooter who (I’m trying to remember where I’d heard this from) “looks Middle Eastern” or something, I shouldn’t have gone above 70 percent. Bendini and themusicgod1 had it right if you ask me.on 2016-07-26

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