Theresa May triggers Article 50 without the explicit support of Sturgeon, the Scottish parliament, or a second referendum

Created by elephantower on 2016-07-22; known on 2018-01-16; judged right by themusicgod1 on 2017-03-31.

• elephantower estimated 40% on 2016-07-22
• elephantower said “http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/07/15/theresa-may-flies-to-edinburgh-to-tell-scots-that-she-believes-w/” on 2016-07-22
• elephantower said “I’ll move the date if needed” on 2016-07-22
• elephantower changed the deadline from “on 2018-01-16” and made the prediction on 2016-07-22
• themusicgod1 estimated 26% on 2016-07-23
• blackRust estimated 30% on 2016-07-24
• Bruno Parga estimated 30% on 2016-09-10
• Bruno Parga estimated 80% on 2017-02-17
• themusicgod1   judged this prediction right on 2017-03-31.