Conditional on border checkpoints being set up along the UK-Ireland border, there will be an attack on the checkpoints or border guards

Created by elephantower on 2016-07-22; known on 2020-12-16

• elephantower estimated 70% on 2016-07-22
• elephantower changed the deadline from “on 2020-12-16” and changed their prediction from “Conditional on border checkpoints being set up along the UK-Ireland border, there will be a dissident republican attack on the checkpoints or border guards” on 2016-07-22
• themusicgod1 estimated 50% on 2016-07-23
• blackRust estimated 65% on 2016-07-24
• blackRust estimated 72% on 2020-02-29