Pokemon Go will descend to <15M users by 08/20

Created by sungk2048 on 2016-07-25; known on 2016-08-20; judged unknown by PseudonymousUser on 2016-08-05.

• sungk2048 estimated 75% on 2016-07-25
• sungk2048 said “Original estimate from 07/21: https://www.surveymonkey.com/business/intelligence/peak-pokemon-go/” on 2016-07-25
• themusicgod1 estimated 53% on 2016-07-26
• Medea estimated 30% on 2016-07-26
• Dapple said “Is there a direct link to the indicator being used to determine this prediction?” on 2016-07-31
• davidmanheim estimated 70% and said “I’d love to know what is being used to determine this…” on 2016-08-02
• davidmanheim estimated 60% and said “Also, the rollout is phased – it isn’t out yet everywhere; http://www.gadgetmatch.com/niantic-releases-official-statement-pokemon-go-global-rollout/” on 2016-08-02
• Pidgey1987 estimated 100% and said “Its not a prediction, it already happened: https://www.surveymonkey.com/business/intelligence/pokemon-go-biggest-mobile-game-ever/” on 2016-08-05
• Pidgey1987   judged this prediction right on 2016-08-05.
• Pidgey1987 said “https://www.surveymonkey.com/business/intelligence/pokemon-go-biggest-mobile-game-ever/” on 2016-08-05
• PseudonymousUser said “Your link does not support that conclusion. There’s a chart with an 11M DAU figure on July 11, but it shows only Android users, and this prediction was made on July 25, anyway.” on 2016-08-05
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction unknown on 2016-08-05.
• elephantower estimated 70% on 2016-08-05
• BigRaims estimated 60% on 2016-08-16
• elephantower   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-08-21.
• elephantower said “http://www.themarysue.com/pokemon-go-player-loss/” on 2016-08-21