What is today known as the 2016 DNC leak will be generally agreed upon to have been hacked by a Russian Government operation. Similar to how the NYTimes says (but both governments deny) that Stuxnet was a joint US/Israel operation.
Created by two2thehead on 2016-07-31; known on 2066-07-30; judged right by two2thehead on 2016-10-07.
- two2thehead estimated 90% on 2016-07-31
- two2thehead said “http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/27/us/politics/spy-agency-consensus-grows-that-russia-hacked-dnc.html” on 2016-07-31
- two2thehead said ““American intelligence agencies have told the White House they now have “high confidence” that the Russian government was behind the theft of emails and documents…” on 2016-07-31
- two2thehead said “ from the Democratic National Committee, according to federal officials who have been briefed on the evidence."” on 2016-07-31
- two2thehead said “Ideally it would be something like this but with an announcement from some place like the F.B.I” on 2016-07-31
- two2thehead said “BUG REPORT: Having two sets of brackets in the same prediction throws up an error.” on 2016-07-31
- themusicgod1 said “@two2thehead what was the text of your prediction? I’m pretty sure I saw the same thing but cannot reproduce” on 2016-07-31
- two2thehead said “I deleted the original prediction on my computer since this once worked. Lesson learned, I’ll keep any future predictions and drafts in onenote next time. I’ll try and see if I can remember it though.” on 2016-07-31
- two2thehead said “Figured it out. __ http://pastebin.com/Ad1Vb2g2” on 2016-07-31
- elephantower estimated 90% on 2016-07-31
- davidmanheim estimated 99% and said “This is already known, isn’t it?” on 2016-08-02
- two2thehead said “@davidmanheim Ideally I’d want more confirmation.” on 2016-08-04
- two2thehead estimated 99% on 2016-08-12
- two2thehead said ““Levying sanctions would require the White House to publicly accuse Russia, or Russian-backed hackers, of committing the breach and then leaking embarrassing information….”” on 2016-08-12
- two2thehead said “" The U.S. has frequently opted not to publicly release attribution for cyber-assaults, though Washington did openly accuse North Korea of carrying out an embarrassing breach of Sony Pictures Entertainment Inc. in 2014."” on 2016-08-12
- two2thehead said “http://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-considers-sanctions-against-russia-in-response-to-hacks-of-democratic-groups-1470946133” on 2016-08-12
- two2thehead said “I’m tempted to pull the trigger on this now, but best case goal or judgment or known-result of this prediction was something similar to an FBI/government announcement. Let’s see if it comes to that.” on 2016-08-12
- two2thehead said “Similar to the aforementioned accusation of North Korea hacking Sony.” on 2016-08-12
- two2thehead said “Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi, calling the incident a “sad course of events,” wrote in a note to colleagues that she was changing her phone number and advised colleagues to do the same.” on 2016-08-15
- two2thehead said ““I was in the air flying from Florida to California when the news broke,” Pelosi wrote. “Upon landing, I have received scores of mostly obscene and sick calls, voice mails and text messages.” on 2016-08-15
- two2thehead said “Source: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/08/democrats-cyberhack-house-226985” on 2016-08-15
- two2thehead said “Posted the above to give some evidence/incentive to the possibility of an official announcement of accusation.” on 2016-08-15
- btrettel estimated 90% on 2016-08-23
- two2thehead said “The Obama administration on Friday said it is “confident” that the Russian government is responsible for the hacking of the Democratic National Committee and other political organizations in recent months.” on 2016-10-07
- two2thehead said “Source : http://www.politico.com/story/2016/10/obama-administration-accuses-russian-government-of-election-year-hacking-229296” on 2016-10-07
- two2thehead judged this prediction right on 2016-10-07.