Trump will not lead Clinton in the RCP average by more than 5% at any point in the 2016 election.
Created by NathanMcKnight on 2016-08-01; known on 2016-12-16; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2016-11-09.
- NathanMcKnight estimated 70% on 2016-08-01
- blackRust estimated 80% on 2016-08-02
- blackRust said “http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html” on 2016-08-02
- elephantower estimated 90% on 2016-08-02
- NathanMcKnight estimated 99% on 2016-10-11
- two2thehead estimated 99% and said “Trying to figure out how I missed this” on 2016-10-11
- themusicgod1 estimated 63% on 2016-10-11
- PseudonymousUser estimated 98% on 2016-10-11
- PseudonymousUser judged this prediction right on 2016-11-09.