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Republicans win between 231 and 240 house seats in 2016

Created by elephantower on 2016-08-02; known on 2016-11-08; judged wrong by elephantower on 2016-11-13.

  • elephantower estimated 60% on 2016-08-02
  • predictit estimated 37% and said “This acct posts probabilities from predictit.org, to test its accuracy relative to mine (and others’), and record why I think the market is biased (if applicable). See other predictions on "predictit"’s user page and test your acumen against it too.on 2016-08-02
  • themusicgod1   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-11-09.
  • themusicgod1   judged this prediction unknown on 2016-11-09.
  • elephantower   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-11-13.