One of John McCain or Paul Ryan will publicly withdraw support for Donald Trump in 2 months

Created by hoka on 2016-08-09; known on 2016-10-08; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2016-10-08.

• hoka estimated 50% on 2016-08-09
• splorridge estimated 44% on 2016-08-09
• elephantower estimated 40% on 2016-08-10
• elephantower said “McCain is much more likely than Ryan” on 2016-08-10
• leo_grint estimated 28% on 2016-08-10
• BigRaims estimated 70% on 2016-08-16
• Bruno Parga said “While they’re both seemingly very reluctant, none has withdrawn their endorsement.” on 2016-10-08
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-10-08.
• two2thehead said “Close but no cigar. “There are no excuses for Donald Trump’s offensive behavior. Cindy & I will not vote for him….” https://twitter.com/SenJohnMcCain/status/784870687462854656” on 2016-10-08
• two2thehead said “That was less than fifteen minutes ago too.” on 2016-10-08
• hoka said “McCain now withdraw’s support, I was hoping it could have happened earlier though” on 2016-10-09