One of John McCain or Paul Ryan will publicly withdraw support for Donald Trump in 2 months

Created by hoka on 2016-08-09; known on 2016-10-08; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2016-10-08.

  • hoka estimated 50% on 2016-08-09
  • splorridge estimated 44% on 2016-08-09
  • elephantower estimated 40% on 2016-08-10
  • elephantower said “McCain is much more likely than Ryanon 2016-08-10
  • leo_grint estimated 28% on 2016-08-10
  • BigRaims estimated 70% on 2016-08-16
  • Bruno Parga said “While they’re both seemingly very reluctant, none has withdrawn their endorsement.on 2016-10-08
  • Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-10-08.
  • two2thehead said “Close but no cigar. “There are no excuses for Donald Trump’s offensive behavior. Cindy & I will not vote for him….” https://twitter.com/SenJohnMcCain/status/784870687462854656on 2016-10-08
  • two2thehead said “That was less than fifteen minutes ago too.on 2016-10-08
  • hoka said “McCain now withdraw’s support, I was hoping it could have happened earlier thoughon 2016-10-09

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