The winner of the 2016 presidential election will recieve over 400 EVs

Created by elephantower on 2016-08-10; known on 2016-11-08; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2016-11-09.

  • elephantower estimated 1% on 2016-08-10
  • predictit estimated 14% on 2016-08-10
  • elephantower said “sub 1% really, good beton 2016-08-10
  • predictit said “This acct posts probabilities from predictit.org, to test its accuracy relative to mine (and others’), and record why I think the market is biased (if applicable). See other predictions on "predictit"’s user page and test your acumen against it tooon 2016-08-10
  • two2thehead estimated 5% on 2016-11-04
  • themusicgod1 estimated 9% on 2016-11-04
  • NathanMcKnight estimated 7% on 2016-11-05
  • Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-11-09.

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