The Republicans win the 2016 Florida senate race
Created by predictit on 2016-08-10; known on 2016-11-08; judged right by Bruno Parga on 2016-11-09.
- predictit estimated 61% on 2016-08-10
- elephantower estimated 80% and said “people seriously overestimate trump’s downballot effect” on 2016-08-10
- predictit said “This acct posts probabilities from predictit.org, to test its accuracy relative to mine (and others’), and record why I think the market is biased (if applicable). See other predictions on "predictit"’s user page and test your acumen against it too” on 2016-08-10
- Bruno Parga judged this prediction right on 2016-11-09.