For the remainder of the 2016 Presidential Campaign, Trump will not have an approval rating higher than his bounce after the RNC
Created by two2thehead on 2016-08-31; known on 2016-11-24; judged right by two2thehead on 2016-11-09.
- two2thehead estimated 85% on 2016-08-31
- two2thehead said “Measured by http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html” on 2016-08-31
- two2thehead said “His bounce seems to be 45.7 percent” on 2016-08-31
- two2thehead said “Inspired by: A 538 article written by (I think) Nate Silver who said IIRC that the two convention bounces tend to be the high watermark for both candidates and a low bounce is a bad sign” on 2016-08-31
- two2thehead said “REQUEST: Does anyone know of the article I’m thinking about? My google-fu is weak.” on 2016-08-31
- gz4053 estimated 70% and said “loosw” on 2016-09-09
- two2thehead changed the deadline from “on 2017-02-28” on 2016-11-08
- two2thehead said “Closest was 45.3 percent” on 2016-11-09
- two2thehead judged this prediction right on 2016-11-09.