Self driving vehicle (level 4) drives legally on public UK roads before end 2019

Created by penten on 2016-09-29; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-08.

• penten estimated 70% on 2016-09-29
• themusicgod1 estimated 87% on 2016-09-30
• splorridge estimated 70% on 2016-10-03
• two2thehead said “Prediction needs more clarification IMO. Which level? http://www.nhtsa.gov/About+NHTSA/Press+Releases/U.S.+Department+of+Transportation+Releases+Policy+on+Automated+Vehicle+Development” on 2016-10-03
• two2thehead estimated 70% on 2016-10-03
• Osuniev estimated 72% on 2016-11-21
• two2thehead estimated 90% on 2016-12-30
• penten changed the deadline from “on 2020-01-01” and changed their prediction from “Self driving vehicle on UK roads before end 2019” on 2017-01-06
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-08.