Nuclear weapon used by India or Pakistan on military target, at least 2 casualties

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-09-30; known on 2016-12-30; judged wrong by two2thehead on 2016-12-30.

  • themusicgod1 estimated 46% on 2016-09-30
  • two2thehead estimated 1% on 2016-09-30
  • Temeraire estimated 1% and said “Assuming end date is 2016on 2016-10-01
  • Dapple estimated 1% on 2016-10-04
  • pkfalu92 estimated 0% on 2016-12-04
  • Balazs estimated 0% on 2016-12-29
  • two2thehead  judged this prediction wrong on 2016-12-30.

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