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Humans to land on Mars by November 24, 2046

Created by JoshuaZ on 2016-10-24; known on 2046-11-24

  • JoshuaZ estimated 72% on 2016-10-24
  • JoshuaZ said “Bet with Eve: If happens, I get 20 Reese’s Peanut Butter Cups. If I lose, I lose 4. ” on 2016-10-24
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 50% on 2016-11-15
  • Osuniev estimated 30% on 2016-11-21
  • JoshuaZ estimated 69% and said “Updating on cancellation of Red Dragon, switch from ITS to mini-ITS.” on 2017-08-13
  • JoshuaZ estimated 71% and said “Updating on progress with BFR/Starship. ” on 2020-06-12