President Trump Dead/Impeached

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-11-09; known on 2017-11-08; judged wrong by Tenobrus on 2017-11-09.

• themusicgod1 estimated 35% on 2016-11-09
• pkfalu92 estimated 50% on 2016-11-09
• penten estimated 12% and said “base rate looks to be around 10%(!)” on 2016-11-09
• trishume estimated 8% and said “@penten note the one year due date. Base rate I assume is for full term(s).” on 2016-11-10
• penten estimated 3% and said “@trishume you are right, thank you.” on 2016-11-10
• Dapple estimated 3% on 2016-11-28
• CarlShulman estimated 4% on 2017-02-05
• penten estimated 5% and said “forgot to consider death by natural causes” on 2017-02-06
• Baeboo estimated 2% on 2017-08-08
• Baeboo estimated 4% on 2017-08-16
• Baeboo estimated 12% on 2017-08-16
• Pablo estimated 2% and said “Prediction resolves on 2017-11-08.” on 2017-08-22
• Baeboo estimated 8% on 2017-08-23
• Baeboo estimated 4% on 2017-09-17
• Faceh estimated 1% and said “I mean, he’s not likely to keel over in the first year, and impeachment is looking unlikely at present.” on 2017-09-29
• Tenobrus estimated 2% on 2017-10-03
• Baeboo estimated 3% on 2017-10-09
• Michael Dickens estimated 1% on 2017-10-28
• Baeboo estimated 1% on 2017-10-29
• two2thehead estimated 1% on 2017-10-29
• jamesrom estimated 0% on 2017-11-09
• Tenobrus   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-11-09.