Trump's approval rating to below 30% by end of first year in office.

Created by JoshuaZ on 2016-11-10; known on 2018-01-20; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2018-01-20.

• JoshuaZ estimated 24% on 2016-11-10
• themusicgod1 estimated 69% on 2016-11-10
• trishume estimated 64% on 2016-11-10
• penten estimated 20% on 2016-11-10
• jesseh estimated 25% on 2016-11-10
• Michael Dickens said “Does this mean his approval rating is below 30% at some point during his first year, or that as of one year, his approval rating will be below 30%?” on 2016-11-10
• JoshuaZ said “Michael, intent was that at least one point.” on 2017-11-27
• JoshuaZ said “Also, I didn’t specify a metric, so let’s say either the Gallup approval or the 538 running average. ” on 2017-11-27
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2018-01-20.